UCL Betting Tips: Bayern Munich vs Lazio
Bayern Munich are in unfamiliar territory as they prepare to face Lazio in the second leg of their Champions League last 16 tie. They not only trail 1-0 from the first leg courtesy of a Ciro Immobile penalty following Dayot Upamecano’s red card, but they also risk losing their Bundesliga title after an incredible 11-year reign.
The Bavarian giants are currently trailing ten points behind league leaders Bayern Leverkusen in the Bundesliga, with only ten matches remaining. Since they have already been eliminated from the DFB-Pokal, it appears that the Champions League represents their only viable opportunity to win a trophy this season.
Head coach Thomas Tuchel will be anticipating a strong response from his players in front of their home fans to avoid an embarrassing elimination from the Champions League and to salvage his final season in Munich. However, Bayern will need to improve their defence since both teams have scored in two of their three home games in the competition. Additionally, a trend has been observed in their recent European games, where at least one goal has been scored after the 65th minute in nine of their last ten Champions League matches.
Considering Bayern’s tendency to concede goals at home and the potential for late drama, we may be in for an exciting, high-scoring match at the Allianz Arena.
Lazio: Chasing History
Lazio come into this encounter with dreams of reaching their first Champions League quarter-final since the 1999-00 season. Sven-Göran Eriksson was in charge back then when the Italians advanced through the second group stage. Despite having a less than impressive record in Germany, with no victories in four previous attempts (D2 L2), including a 2-1 loss to Bayern in March 2021, Lazio’s recent 1-0 win over the Germans will have infused them with a newfound sense of confidence.
However, Lazio’s form since that victory has been less than inspiring. The Italian outfit has lost three of their last four league matches, causing them to slip to eighth in Serie A. And despite Bayern current woes, Lazio will still head to the Allianz Arena as massive underdogs.
Yet, the prospect of becoming the first team since Real Madrid in the 2016-17 campaign to defeat Bayern both home and away in the same Champions League season will be ample motivation, as will a first quarter-final berth in more than two decades.
Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
05/03 21:00 Bayern Munich – Lazio Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.51 (Betway)
While Bayern Munich are heavy favourites on paper, their inconsistency makes predicting a clear winner challenging despite Lazio’s recent slump and poor record in Germany. However, the historical data suggests an open and attacking game. Both teams have scored in two of Bayern’s last three Champions League home matches, and nine of their last ten Champions League games saw at least one goal scored after the 65th minute.
Given these trends and Bayern’s hunger to redeem themselves, we expect an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.
Therefore, we recommend betting on Over 2.5 goals at 1.51 odds on Betway.
Bayern Munich vs Lazio - Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.51
Bayern Munich vs Lazio - Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.51
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