Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar: Europa League Predictions & Betting Tips 13/03/2025
A 1-0 defeat in the first leg of their Europa League last-16 tie against AZ Alkmaar means Tottenham Hotspur must win the return leg at home on Thursday to reach the quarterfinals.
For a team already eliminated from both domestic cups and 13th in the Premier League, this competition represents their last chance at silverware this season.
Simply put, they must win. But can they? Their history against Dutch sides suggests they can. Spurs have won six of their last 11 visits to the Netherlands, including a 3-2 comeback victory over Ajax in 2019.
One thing Spurs fans have come to expect in European home games is goals. Both of their last two Europa League home fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals, and they’ll be hoping much of the scoring on Thursday comes from their side.
With Heung-Min Son in decent form—having netted ten goals this season, six in the league and three in the Europa League—they can be confident in attack.
However, midfield could be a concern with Rodrigo Bentancur suspended. Adding to that, Richarlison’s absence further weakens their attacking options, leaving Spurs short of key players heading into this one.
Those absences will be welcome news for AZ Alkmaar, who, despite their first-leg advantage, have plenty of reasons to approach this clash with caution given their dismal record in England.
The Dutch side have won just one of their last eight away matches against English opposition, losing the last two against Aston Villa and West Ham.
Defensively, they’ve struggled on the road, conceding in each of their last three away games—all of which featured over 2.5 goals. However, those same matches also saw them find the net, meaning their chances here will likely hinge more on their defence than their attack.
Betting Tips: Tottenham to Win & Both Teams to Score; Heung-Min Son to Score Anytime; Troy Parrott to Score Anytime
13/03 21:00 Tottenham Hotspur – AZ Alkmaar Tottenham to Win & Both Teams to Score @ 2.95; Heung-Min Son to Score Anytime @ 2.70; Troy Parrott to Score Anytime @ 3.80 (Betking)
Both teams tend to be involved in high-scoring encounters, with Both Teams To Score landing in four of Tottenham’s last six Europa League games and all three of AZ’s most recent away matches.
Given Tottenham’s need for goals and AZ’s willingness to play on the front foot even away from home, we expect a similar outcome here.
While both sides should find the net, Tottenham’s strong record against Dutch teams and AZ’s poor record in England suggest Spurs will ultimately prevail.
Despite their missing players, Spurs should have enough about them to win in front of their fans—keeping a clean sheet, however, is another matter.
Back Spurs to Win and Both Teams to Score at 2.95 odds on Betking.
Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham to Win & Both Teams to Score @ 2.95
Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham to Win & Both Teams to Score @ 2.95Now, onto the question of who will get the goals. With Richarlison out, Son will be Spurs’ go-to man in attack. He’s already netted three times in the Europa League this season and will be their biggest goal threat on the night.
Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar - Heung-Min Son to Score Anytime @ 2.70Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar - Heung-Min Son to Score Anytime @ 2.70For AZ, one player who will be desperate to get on the scoresheet will be former Spurs striker Troy Parrott. He’s having a fantastic season in front of goal, scoring 17 times, including four in the Europa League.
And as football so often writes its own scripts, you wouldn’t bet against Parrott getting on the scoresheet against his old club.
Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar - Troy Parrott to Score Anytime @ 3.80Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar - Troy Parrott to Score Anytime @ 3.80Expected Lineups:
- Tottenham: Vicario (GK); Pedro Porro, Van de Ven, Romero, Udogie; Bergvall, Gray, Maddison; Johnson, Solanke, Son
- AZ Alkmaar: Owusu-Oduro (GK); Maikuma, Goes, Penetra, Wolfe; Clasie, Buurmeester, Koopmeiners; Poku, Parrott, Sadiq
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