Napoli vs Inter Milan: Serie A Predictions & Betting Tips 01/03/2025
It’s second versus first in Serie A as Napoli welcome Inter Milan to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Saturday for what promises to be a fiery clash that could significantly impact the destination of the Scudetto.
With just a single point separating the two sides, Napoli have the chance to overtake their visitors at the summit and seize control of the title race. However, their recent form heading into this decisive encounter suggests that securing all three points could be a tough ask for the Partenopei, who are winless in their last four league games.
That hardly paints an encouraging picture for Napoli, especially given they’ve managed just one victory in their last 11 Serie A meetings with Inter. Perhaps the prospect of displacing the league leaders will provide enough motivation for the hosts to rise to the occasion, but with key midfielder Zambo Anguissa ruled out, the advantage may well lie with Inter.
Midfield dominance isn’t the only factor in Inter’s favour here. Their record at this venue makes for good reading too, having suffered just one defeat in their last five visits to Naples. A win on Saturday would not only secure back-to-back away victories at Napoli for the first time since 1997 but also extend their lead at the top, adding even more incentive for Simone Inzaghi’s men to go all out.
Inter’s head-to-head record with Napoli also bodes well for their chances, with the Nerazzurri winning 16 of their last 44 encounters, compared to Napoli’s 15.
That said, Inter themselves aren’t in blistering form, having won two, lost two, and drawn one of their last five league outings. As such, this clash could be far more evenly balanced than the stats suggest.
Betting Tips: Under 2.5 Goals; Draw & Under 2.5 Goals; Nicolo Barella to Receive a Card
01/03 18:00 Napoli – Inter Milan Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.65; Draw & Under 2.5 Goals @ 3.80; Nicolo Barella to be Carded @ 3.25 (betBonanza)
Given the stakes, both teams are likely to prioritise not conceding, which could result in a cagey affair where neither side is too eager to take risks. A draw wouldn’t be the worst outcome, especially for Inter, who would maintain their lead at the top with such a result.
Both teams typically thrive in the second half—Inter have scored 32 goals after halftime, with Napoli doing similar—so, after the interval could be where the game truly comes to life.
However, history suggests a low-scoring affair is the most probable outcome. The last two meetings between these sides ended in 1-1 draws, and 10 of their last 12 encounters have produced under 2.5 goals. Given that neither side will be particularly eager to go all out, another low-scoring affair seems likely.
Therefore, our first tip is to back Under 2.5 Goals at 1.65 odds on betBonanza.
Napoli vs Inter Milan - Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.65
Napoli vs Inter Milan - Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.65Those willing to take on a bit more risk could find a Full-time Draw & Under 2.5 Goals combo bet at 3.80 odds on betBonanza a really good value bet, given that their last two meetings ended in 1-1 draws.
Napoli vs Inter Milan - Draw & Under 2.5 Goals @ 3.80Napoli vs Inter Milan - Draw & Under 2.5 Goals @ 3.80Another key factor to consider is that with Zambo Anguissa absent, Inter will likely dominate the midfield, and Nicolo Barella will be a player to watch. The Italian midfielder is an aggressive presser who isn’t shy about voicing his frustrations to referees. In what should be an intense midfield contest, Barella’s combative nature makes him a strong candidate for a booking.
Napoli vs Inter Milan - Nicolo Barella to be Carded @ 3.25Napoli vs Inter Milan - Nicolo Barella to be Carded @ 3.25For even greater value, combine all three picks with betBonanza’s bet builder—Full-time Draw + Under 2.5 Goals + Nicolo Barella to be Carded—for a massive 10.93 odds slate.
Napoli vs Inter Milan - Bet Builder: Full-time Draw + Under 2.5 Goals + Nicolo Barella to be Carded @ 10.93Napoli vs Inter Milan - Bet Builder: Full-time Draw + Under 2.5 Goals + Nicolo Barella to be Carded @ 10.93Predicted Line-ups:
- Napoli: Meret, Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Spinazzola, Billing, Lobotka, McTominay, Politano, Raspadori, Lukaku
- Inter Milan: Martinez, Pavard, Acerbi, Bastoni, Calhanoglu, Dumfries, Barella, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Martinez, Taremi
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