Liverpool vs PSG: UEFA Champions League Predictions & Betting Tips 11/03/2025
Liverpool’s 1-0 win at the Parc des Princes in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League (UCL) last-16 tie against PSG was the very definition of a smash-and-grab. Harvey Elliott’s 87th-minute winner delivered a sucker punch after PSG had peppered their goal with 27 shots, ten of which were on target.
The Reds had goalkeeper Alisson to thank for leaving Paris with what felt like an almost implausible win, but they’ll be hoping the Brazilian won’t need to pull off another nine-save masterclass in Tuesday’s second leg at Anfield.
Indeed, Reds boss Arne Slot has already made it clear that their approach at Anfield will be different as his side has of sitting back on their lead and will go out to win, banking on the famous Anfield atmosphere to push them over the line and into the quarterfinals.
And history is on Liverpool’s side too. The Reds have progressed from each of their last 14 UEFA Champions League knockout ties when winning the first leg.
That statistic won’t make for comfortable reading at PSG, who will surely be ruing their failure to capitalise on their dominance at home, especially considering their poor record in England, where they’ve won only three of their 16 UCL away games.
However, Luis Enrique’s side will take confidence from their performance in the first leg, and given they’ve won their last ten away matches in all competitions, they’ll believe they can make it 11 in a row.
Betting Tips: Liverpool Win or Draw & Both Teams to Score; Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2+ Shots on Target; PSG Over 5.5 Corners
11/03 21:00 Liverpool – PSG Liverpool Win or Draw & Both Teams to Score @ 2.07; Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2+ Shots on Target @ 2.50; PSG Over 5.5 Corners @ 2.07 (Betano)
It was nothing short of a miracle that the first leg produced just one goal, with Alisson delivering a heroic performance between the sticks to keep PSG at bay.
But surely, lightning can’t strike twice, can it? If this second leg is anything like the first, we should see plenty of goalmouth action, with both sides contributing to the scoreline.
Slot has already said he intends to be on the front foot, and PSG have no choice but to go for the win, so this one should be wide open, with goals at both ends.
However, Liverpool’s remarkable record of progressing from each of their last 14 UCL knockout ties after winning the first leg, coupled with the backing of the Anfield crowd, makes it hard to see them slipping up here.
Therefore, we recommend backing Liverpool to Win or Draw & Both Teams to Score at 2.07 odds on Betano.
Liverpool vs PSG - Liverpool Win or Draw & Both Teams to Score @ 2.07
Liverpool vs PSG - Liverpool Win or Draw & Both Teams to Score @ 2.07Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2+ Shots on Target @ 2.50
One of PSG’s biggest threats is Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, whose hunger and relentless improvement have drawn comparisons to Cristiano Ronaldo. Like Ronaldo, he boasts impressive shooting stats, averaging 2.0 shots per game in the Champions League, with 1.7 hitting the target.
Given PSG’s desperation for a result, Kvaratskhelia will be at the heart of their attacking moves and should see plenty of the ball in dangerous areas. He possesses the ability and technique to let fly from all angles, and we can expect to see that in full effect at Anfield.
Liverpool vs PSG - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2+ Shots on Target @ 2.50Liverpool vs PSG - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2+ Shots on Target @ 2.50PSG Over 5.5 Corners @ 2.07
Another key takeaway from the first leg was PSG’s high corner count, with the Parisians racking up 14 corners, another indication of just how much they controlled the game.
Their need for a win here means they’ll have an attacking approach, so they’re likely to clock up a high corner count once again.
Liverpool’s style often allows space for opponents to exploit down the flanks, leading to corners. Given PSG’s need to be aggressive, over 5.5 corners looks very achievable.
Liverpool vs PSG - PSG Over 5.5 Corners @ 2.07Liverpool vs PSG - PSG Over 5.5 Corners @ 2.07For even greater value, combining all three bets using Betano’s bet builder: Liverpool Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2+ Shots on Target + PSG Over 5.5 Corners — gives you a massive 10.75 odds.
Liverpool vs PSG - Bet Builder: Liverpool Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2+ Shots on Target + PSG Over 5.5 Corners @ 10.75Liverpool vs PSG - Bet Builder: Liverpool Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2+ Shots on Target + PSG Over 5.5 Corners @ 10.75Possible Lineups:
- Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Szoboszlai, Diaz; Nunez.
- PSG: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Neves, Fabian, Vitinha; Dembele, Kvaratskhelia, Barcola.
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