It’s a big night in the Europa League, with the quarter-finals first legs featuring some intriguing matchups between European giants. Our betting tips feature two exciting ties: Liverpool vs Atalanta and Milan vs Roma.
Liverpool vs Atalanta
Liverpool’s pursuit of the Premier League title raises a dilemma for Jurgen Klopp heading into this match. Will he prioritise domestic glory and rotate his squad, or go all-in for European silverware as well?
Given the Reds’ impressive record at Anfield domestically and on the continent, Klopp may lean towards trusting his squad in this encounter. Liverpool are unbeaten in all 25 competitive home games, securing 22 victories, including a flawless record in all four Europa League home matches with an aggregate scoreline of 17-2.
However, even the strongest fortresses have their weak spots; for Liverpool, that would be their defence. They’ve conceded in each of their last seven competitive games, including both meetings with Sparta Prague last month.
Given Atalanta’s attacking flair, Liverpool’s back line could be breached again on Thursday, regardless of the playing personnel Klopp chooses to go with.
Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
11/04 20:00 Liverpool – Atalanta Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.41 (Betking)
Our betting tip for this match is Over 2.5 Goals, available at 1.41 odds on Betking. This prediction is based on Liverpool’s potent attack, especially at home, and their penchant to concede, which should see Atalanta contribute to the scoreline.
Liverpool vs Atalanta - Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.41
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Milan vs Roma
This all-Italian clash at the San Siro carries a grudge match undercurrent. Roma’s 3-1 defeat at the San Siro earlier this season, where the expected goals (xG) were 1.5-1.4, coupled with a disappointing underlying performance, ultimately led to Jose Mourinho’s sacking.
While Milan currently holds a 13-point lead over Roma in Serie A, the gap in talent between both sides may be narrower than the table suggests. The clubs are just five goals apart in goal difference and three goals apart in expected goal difference.
According to the bookmakers, Roma are underdogs in this tie. However, it is important to note their performance has improved remarkably since Mourinho’s departure and the appointment of Daniele De Rossi. This match, therefore, promises to be much more closely contested than the odds suggest.
Betting Tip: Full-time Draw
11/04 20:00 AC Milan – AS Roma Full-time Draw @ 3.775 (1xbet)
Despite Milan’s higher league position, the gap between the two teams is smaller than it appears. Underlying statistics bear this out.
For instance, Milan’s 3-1 victory at San Siro earlier this season was a closer affair than the scoreline suggests. The expected goals (xG) for that match were remarkably even at 1.5-1.4. This indicates that the final result didn’t really reflect the closely contested nature of the game, further emphasising how evenly matched these two sides truly are.
Additionally, De Rossi’s appointment has injected renewed belief and improved results at Roma, and we believe Thursday’s encounter will be a balanced affair.
Therefore, our betting tip for this match is Full-time Draw, available at 3.775 odds on 1xbet.
Milan vs Roma - Full-time Draw @ 3.775
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