The Europa League knockout stage’s second legs take centre stage on Thursday, with teams jostling for spots in the next round. In this article, we analyse the matchups between Toulouse vs Benfica and Rennes vs AC Milan to provide you with the most informed betting tips for each game.
Toulouse vs Benfica
The first leg in Lisbon saw Benfica edge out a 2-1 victory, with all the goals packed into a thrilling second half. While Toulouse bounced back from that defeat with a morale-boosting win at Monaco at the weekend, the task ahead remains immense.
Benfica have been in formidable form, unbeaten in their last 20 competitive matches within regulation time and claiming victory in 15 of those encounters. Their recent away form is equally impressive, with six wins and a draw in their last seven outings. Furthermore, their weekend 6-1 thrashing of Vizela, even while resting key players, is a testament to their depth and quality.
Despite their strong record, Benfica haven’t been completely watertight at the back, conceding in four consecutive matches, with two ending in a 2-1 scoreline.
This could be a glimmer of hope for Toulouse, who will look to leverage home advantage to overcome the visitors’ one-goal advantage. With a thin margin separating both sides, there is all to play for in the second leg.
Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
22/02 18:45 Toulouse – Benfica Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 (Mozzartbet)
While Benfica hold a slight upper hand, Toulouse know a 2-0 win will be enough to secure passage to the round of 16. The French side has demonstrated a capacity to score, as evidenced in the first leg and at the weekend. They will be confident of breaching a Benfica defence that has recently struggled to keep clean sheets.
However, Benfica’s attacking prowess cannot be underestimated, as demonstrated by the shellacking of Vizela with a weakened team at the weekend. They’ve also netted 15 goals in their last seven away games.
Given Benfica’s attacking prowess and Toulouse’s fighting spirit, we anticipate a match with more than 2.5 goals. The odds for this outcome are set at 1.65 on Mozzartbet.
Toulouse vs Benfica - Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65
Rennes vs AC Milan
Rennes face a daunting task after a chastening 3-0 defeat at the San Siro. Yet, history has shown that European nights are ripe for drama, and Rennes will be banking on their home advantage and the unpredictability of football to stage an epic comeback.
Facing elimination, Rennes are likely to approach the second leg with an attacking mindset. Their attacking style is evident in their Europa League record, where Over 2.5 goals has landed in each of their last five games. This attacking intent, coupled with the need to overturn a significant deficit, suggests they won’t go down without a fight. Moreover, Milan’s surprising loss at Monza at the weekend will give Rennes the encouragement they require for the second leg.
Stefano Pioli will, however, view his side’s loss at Monza as a minor blip in an otherwise stellar campaign. Their first-leg performance against Rennes was a masterclass, and they will be looking to replicate that dominance on French soil.
Milan’s away form has been particularly noteworthy, with two of their last three away victories featuring a 3-2 scoreline. Additionally, 17 of their last 20 matches in all competitions have featured over 2.5 goals. This not only showcases their ability to score away from home but also their tendency to be involved in matches with over 2.5 goals.
Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
22/02 18:45 Rennes – AC Milan Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 (Mozzartbet)
Despite the first-leg deficit, Rennes’ attacking intent and Milan’s recent away form suggest a high-scoring affair is likely. Rennes need goals to avoid elimination, while Milan’s firepower is well-documented. The historical trend further strengthens this prediction, with Over 2.5 goals landing in both teams’ recent Europa League encounters.
Why Bet on Over 2.5 Goals:
- Rennes’ need for goals: They need to score to avoid elimination.
- Milan’s goal glut: They’ve scored 17 goals in their last 20 games.
- High-scoring trend: Over 2.5 goals have landed in both teams’ recent Europa League games.
Therefore, we recommend betting on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.75 on Mozzartbet.
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