Euro 2024 Golden Boot: Top Scorer Odds, Predictions & Favourites
Cristiano Ronaldo heads into Euro 2024 having recently set a new record for goals in a Saudi Pro League season and scoring his 129th and 130th goals for Portugal just days before the tournament. Despite his impressive track record, including winning the Golden Boot at Euro 2020, he is not the top favourite to win the Golden Boot at Euro 2024, according to leading sports betting sites.
Instead, Kylian Mbappe leads the betting odds to become the top scorer at Euro 2024, with Harry Kane close behind. Romelu Lukaku, who scored a record-breaking 14 goals in eight Euro 2024 qualifiers, is also a strong contender to continue his prolific form in UEFA’s premier international competition.
The battle for the Euro 2024 Golden Boot is set to be fiercely competitive, featuring some of the most lethal strikers in the game vying for the honour.
In this analysis, we evaluate the chances of the leading contenders and explore some potential dark horses, aiming to predict who will emerge as the Golden Boot winner at Euro 2024.
Boosted odds on TOP events every day
Boosted odds on TOP events every dayEuro 2024 Top Scorer Odds
All odds are courtesy of Betking, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
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Bet and Get ₦600.000 in Free Bets- Kylian Mbappe @ 5.50
- Harry Kane @ 6.50
- Cristiano Ronaldo @ 13.00
- Romelu Lukaku @ 15.00
- Alvaro Morata @ 25.00
- Phil Foden @ 25.00
- Kai Havertz @ 25.00
- Jude Bellingham @ 25.00
- Olivier Giroud @ 33.00
- Antoine Griezmann @ 33.00
- Rasmus Hojlund @ 35.00
- Bukayo Saka @ 40.00
- Florian Wirtz @ 40.00
- Memphis Depay @ 50.00
- Bruno Fernandes @ 50.00
- Robert Lewandowski @ 55.00
- Kevin De Bruyne @ 55.00
- Aleksandar Mitrovic @ 55.00
- Patrik Schick @ 55.00
- Ousmane Dembele @ 55.00
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Bet and Get ₦600.000 in Free BetsBet and Get ₦600.000 in Free BetsWho will win Euro 2024 Golden Boot? Kane and Mbappe Are Favourites
Harry Kane @ 6.50
Since 1996 the minimum number of goals needed to win the Golden Boot at a European Champion has been three goals. A deep tournament run and a favourable group draw are also beneficial in the race to finish top scorer.
With England and France, the leading bookmakers’ favourites to win Euro 2024, it follows that their leading source of goals, Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappe are the pre-tournament betting favourites to win the Euro 2024 Golden Boot.
Kane might have a record of misfortune when it comes to team honours, but the Bayern Munich man is a magnet for personal accolades. The England captain shattered records in his first season at Bayern Munich, with 36 goals in 32 Bundesliga appearances, and 44 across all competitions.
England’s all-time top scorer also has a Golden Boot to his name, having scored six goals at the 2018 World Cup. With the tournament taking place in Germany, where Kane has settled very well, he is a great shot at 6.50 odds to finish as Euro 2024 top scorer.
Kane will also benefit from a favourable group and being England’s designated penalty taker, an added advantage seeing as previous top scorers have also been their team’s primary penalty taker. For instance, at Euro 2020, Golden Boot winner Ronaldo boosted his tally with three spot kicks.
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Triple bonus 200% up to ₦150,000Kylian Mbappe @ 5.50
Mbappe leads the Euro 2024 Golden Boot betting at 5.50 odds. While the France captain didn’t enjoy as prolific a club season as Kane and is in a more challenging group, the Real Madrid-bound striker comes into the tournament with the Golden Boot from Qatar, where he became only the second person in history to score a hat-trick in a World Cup final.
Les Bleus are tipped as one of the favourites for the tournament, and Mbappe will have plenty of supply lines from arguably the strongest squads at the tournament. However, he hasn’t scored in his last three international appearances and also failed to score at Euro 2020, even missing the decisive kick as France went out to Switzerland on penalties three years ago.
Additionally, with France having had the largest spread of goalscorers (14) of any side in qualifying, Mbappe might not be much of an appealing prospect.
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100% Welcome Bonus Up to ₦50.000Ronaldo to Make More History at Euro 2024?
Cristiano Ronaldo won the Euro 2020 Golden Boot and is in a great position to become the first two-time Golden Boot winner, with Portugal drawn in the easiest group in Germany according to the FIFA rankings.
Having scored all five of his goals in the group stage at Euro 2020, the 39-year-old will be confident of repeating or even surpassing that feat in a group featuring Turkey, Czechia, and Georgia.
In numerous aspects, the European Championship is synonymous with Ronaldo. He holds the records for the most games played (25), goals scored (14), joint-most assists (6), and the most tournaments with at least one goal (5). Ronaldo’s involvement in goals (20 – 14 goals, 6 assists) is double that of any other player since 1972, with Michel Platini trailing at 10 (9 goals, 1 assist).
Given his impressive Euros record, his role as Portugal’s primary penalty taker, his proficiency from set pieces, and his expected position as the lead striker over Gonçalo Ramos, Ronaldo is our top pick to finish as the tournament’s leading scorer and win the Golden Boot at what is likely to be his last Euros.
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Romelu Lukaku is also another standout choice for the Euro 2024 Golden Boot, and at 15.00 odds could be great value. Belgium have a very favourable group draw with Slovakia, Romania, and Ukraine as their opposition, so Lukaku could conceivably fill his boots before the knockout stages.
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The bookmakers have Germany doing well at Euro 2024 and they have a great record when hosting major tournaments, having reached at least the semifinals in each of the previous three international tournaments they’ve staged.
Going by that track record, they could enjoy a deep run on home soil making Kai Havertz, who often leads the line as a false nine and has scored three times in his last six appearances for Germany, a good shot at 25.00 odds to win the Golden Boot. However, the caveat here is only three times in Euros history has there been a standalone Golden Boot winner from the host nation.
Spain’s Alvaro Morata also catches the eye at 25.00 odds to win the Golden Boot at Euro 2024 and does have decent pedigree at the Euros, ranking joint-fifth in the competition’s all-time goalscoring charts. He’s coming off his joint-most prolific season at club level where he scored 15 goals in 27 LaLiga matches for Atletico Madrid. However, he does tend to miss quite a few chances, having missed more big chances (six) than any other player at Euro 2020.
We’ve tipped Denmark as the tournament’s likely dark horses and their 21-year-old striker Rasmus Hojlund should feature prominently amongst the goals. He’s coming off a successful debut season at Manchester United where he scored 16 goals and scored seven goals in eight games as the Danes qualified top of their group. At 35.00 odds to finish as Euro 2024 top scorer, he is definitely worth a punt.
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