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EPL Betting Tips: Luton Town vs Aston Villa
The Premier League’s Saturday schedule culminates with a potentially explosive encounter between Luton Town and Aston Villa in the late kickoff. Both teams are renowned for being involved in high-scoring games, raising the prospect of a thrilling goal-fest to close out the day’s fixtures.
Luton Town come into this encounter averaging 4.75 goals in their last eight matches, a stat line that speaks volumes about the high-scoring nature of their matches. The Hatters suffered a heavy 6-2 defeat at the hands of Manchester City last time out; however, they haven’t been shy in front of goal themselves, especially against top-tier teams. In addition to netting twice against City, Rob Edwards’ side put four past Newcastle and Brighton and scored three times in a defeat to Arsenal in December.
In fact, bettors would have made a tidy profit betting on goals in Luton’s games, with over 2.5 goals being a winning bet in their last eight matches consecutively. Three of their last four home fixtures have even exceeded 3.5 goals. This trend of high-scoring matches, especially at their home ground, should continue when Aston Villa rock up to Kenilworth Road on Saturday.
Aston Villa: Firing on All Cylinders
Aston Villa come into this match off a 4-2 victory against Nottingham Forest last time out. Under Unai Emery, the Villans have found their attacking rhythm, boasting an impressive squad filled with goal-scoring threats. Star striker Ollie Watkins, tied for third in the league with 14 goals and leading the assist charts with 10, is in top form, scoring in four of his last five matches. It wouldn’t hurt to back the 28-year-old Englishman, who has scored three goals in his last two matches to find the net against a pliable Luton defence at 2.08 odds on Betking.
However, Watkins is not the only threat for this Villa side firing on all cylinders. Brazilian midfielder Douglas Luiz has had a career-best season with nine goals, while Jamaican winger Leon Bailey has also made a significant contribution with seven goals. Captain John McGinn has scored six goals, and French winger Moussa Diaby has produced four. With such a strong and diverse lineup of scoring threats, Luton Town have their work cut out for them.
However, despite their offensive strength, the visitors have struggled to keep out opponents. This is evident in the fact that both teams have scored in eight of Villa’s last ten Premier League fixtures. Expect Luton to find some joy against Villa’s defence, just like in the reverse fixture, which ended 3-1 in favour of Unai Emery’s side.
Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
02/03 18:30 Luton – Aston Villa Over 2.5 Goals (Betking)
Given the high-scoring nature of both Luton and Villa’s recent games, our betting tip for this match is over 2.5 goals. This prediction is based on the following reasons:
- Luton’s high-scoring games: Luton’s recent matches have seen an average of 4.75 goals, with over 2.5 goals being a winning bet in their last eight matches.
- Aston Villa’s firepower: Villa’s squad boasts several goal-scoring threats like Watkins, Luiz, and Bailey, who are all in top form. Additionally, both teams have scored in eight of their last ten Premier League fixtures.
- High-Scoring Teams: Both Luton and Aston Villa have displayed a propensity for scoring and conceding goals in recent matches.
Therefore, with both teams boasting a history of high-scoring encounters, we recommend betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.40 odds on Betking.
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