This Saturday’s late Premier League kick-off sees Manchester United travel to the Gtech Community Stadium to take on Brentford. While United will be hoping to capitalise on the momentum of their dramatic FA Cup victory over Liverpool, manager Erik ten Hag still faces a significant challenge.
United’s dramatic extra-time win against bitter rivals Liverpool was undoubtedly a positive sign amidst their struggles this season. However, the reality is they still sit nine points adrift of fourth-placed Aston Villa and the coveted Champions League qualification spot. This adds pressure to their performance against The Bees, who themselves are facing a different kind of battle – one for Premier League survival.
Brentford’s promising start to the season has faded, leaving them just five points above the relegation zone in 15th place. With just one point from their last six matches, including a surprise 1-2 home defeat to Burnley last time out, Thomas Frank’s side will be desperate for a positive result.
Bees to Sting in Red Devils’s Vulnerable Quarter Hour?
An interesting statistic emerges when analysing both teams. United have conceded 92 shots between the 16th and 30th minute – the most any side has faced in a 15-minute block (excluding injury time at the end of a half) in the Premier League this season. This vulnerable period coincides with Brentford’s most prolific scoring phase, as they have netted 9 goals (22%) during that time frame.
Furthermore, Manchester United have both scored and conceded in each of their last five away league matches. This apparent defensive frailty on their travels could be a weakness that Brentford exploits.
Given these trends, the odds of 4.33 offered by 22bet for Brentford to score between the 16th and 30th minute appear attractive. As a safer alternative, 22bet also offers odds of 1.533 for the first goal of the match to be scored within the first 30 minutes.
Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
30/03 21:00 Brentford – Manchester United Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.47 (22bet)
Considering both teams’ situations and recent form, an open and high-scoring match seems likely. Manchester United will be pushing for a win to keep their Champions League hopes alive, while Brentford will be desperate for points to avoid getting drawn into the relegation dogfight.
United have found the net regularly on their travels, doing so in their last five games. They possess enough quality and firepower to breach a Brentford defence that conceded twice against the league’s second-worst team, Burnley. Additionally, the hot stat of United conceding high-volume shots in the 16th-30th minute window makes Brentford a threat to score.
Considering all these factors, we recommend taking the Over 2.5 Goals bet at 1.47 odds on 22bet.
Brentford vs Manchester United - Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.47
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