The Emirates is the venue for the midweek clash between title-chasing Arsenal and relegation-threatened Luton Town, as the Gunners seek to take another decisive step towards a first Premier League title since 2004.
Arsenal head into this match in high spirits after securing a valuable point at Manchester City, a feat that required a masterclass in tactical execution. Mikel Arteta prioritised nullifying City’s attack, and his players executed the plan to perfection. The strategy paid dividends, as Arsenal’s disciplined performance earned them a crucial point, allowing them to maintain their position above City in the league standings.
Now, against a rather less formidable opponent, Arteta’s men have the chance to leapfrog league leaders Liverpool, who play on Thursday.
The Gunners should be confident of taking all three points, considering their remarkable home record against teams coming up from the Championship. They are unbeaten in 38 home games against such sides (W33, D5), winning nine of their last nine. It has been 15 years since a newly-promoted side claimed a win at Arsenal, with only Blackburn Rovers (1992-93), West Ham (1993-94), and Hull City (2008-09) managing the feat. It’s difficult to see Luton entering that list.
However, it’s worth noting that Arsenal have struggled to maintain clean sheets at home, managing only two in their last eight league matches. This porosity could be a concern, especially considering Luton’s consistent goal-scoring threat.
Luton Town: Struggling But Still Scoring
Luton Town arrive at the Emirates Stadium in desperate need of a win. Defeat to Tottenham last time out means the Hatters have now gone seven games without tasting victory. This has left them 18th on the log with only eight games remaining in the season.
Despite their less-than-ideal position, Luton have shown a commendable knack for finding the back of the net, scoring in their last 18 Premier League outings. This streak is the longest in the league, illustrating that, while victories have been scarce, their attacking threat remains potent. However, with only four wins in these 18 games and a nine-match winless run (D3 L6), converting those goals into vital points has been a challenge.
Nevertheless, their consistent scoring could pose a threat to Arsenal’s leaky defence.
Celebratory Goal for Jesus?
Our hot stat for this match revolves around Arsenal striker Gabriel Jesus, who could make the difference on the day. Jesus, who turns 27 on Wednesday, has previously scored on his 24th birthday for Manchester City. If he finds the net against Luton, he will become the first Premier League player to score for two different clubs on his birthday.
With odds of 2.10 on Wazobet to score anytime and 6.40 to open the scoring, this could be a fun betting angle to consider.
Betting Tip: Arsenal to Win and Over 3.5 Goals
03/04 19:30 Arsenal – Luton Town Arsenal to win & Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.65 (Wazobet)
Considering the Gunners’ remarkable unbeaten record against newly-promoted clubs and Luton’s long winless run, there is only one outcome – a straightforward win for the home side.
However, Luton’s persistent scoring threat suggests they could contribute to the tally, especially with the Gunners struggling to keep clean sheets at the Emirates. Therefore, we should see a high-scoring affair culminating in an Arsenal victory.
With these factors in mind, our betting tip is Arsenal to Win and Over 3.5 Goals, available at 1.65 odds on Wazobet.
Arsenal vs Luton - Arsenal to win & Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.65
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