Champions League Betting Tips: Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid
Bayern Munich come into this highly anticipated UEFA Champions League semi-final first-leg clash with Real Madrid with a fortress-like record at home. With only one loss in their last 24 home games in the Champions League (W20, D3), the Allianz Arena has become a fortress where many dreams of victory by visiting teams are dashed.
Bayern’s 15-match unbeaten run since losing to Paris Saint-Germain in April 2021 (W12, D3) further highlights their dominance on home soil in Europe.
However, this impressive streak at the Allianz Arena could be at risk on Tuesday as Thomas Tuchel’s squad deals with an extensive injury list. The hosts could be without the services of Matthijs de Ligt, Konrad Laimer, Jamal Musiala, Dayot Upamecano, Leroy Sane, Kingsley Coman, Serge Gnabry, Sacha Boey, Bouna Sarr, Tarek Buchmann and Gabriel Marusic due to injury presenting Tuchel with a real selection headache as they prepare to confront the ultimate challenge in this competition.
An understrength Bayern will be music to Real Madrid’s ears as the visitors look to make it 11 games without defeat in this season’s Champions League. They’ve won seven of their ten Champions League matches this season (W7, D3) and four of their last six matches in all competitions, scoring at least two goals in three of those games. So they travel to Germany in good form.
Additionally, Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti has a far healthier squad to pick from compared with his opposite number, with only long-term absentees Ferland Mendy and Thibaut Courtois sidelined for the game. The Italian will likely field the same side that started the epic penalty shootout win over holders Manchester City in the quarter-finals.
Betting Tip: Real Madrid Win or Draw
30/04 20:00 Bayern Munich – Real Madrid Real to Win or Draw @ 1.60 (Betano)
While Bayern Munich’s Champions League home record inspires confidence, their extensive injury list is a major concern. A full-strength Bayern might trouble Real Madrid, but an understrength side will find it tough going against the record winners, who are unbeaten in this season’s competition and have a near full-strength side to choose from.
Expect the visitors to take advantage of the hosts’ injury woes to get a favourable result ahead of the return leg. Therefore, we recommend backing Real Madrid to win or draw against Bayern Munich at 1.60 odds on Betano.
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