Barcelona vs Valencia: La Liga Predictions & Betting Tips 26/01/2025

A run of four league games without a win has halted Hansi Flick’s seemingly unstoppable march towards the La Liga title in his first season as Barcelona boss. Once looking uncatchable at the top, the Catalans are now third in the standings, behind the Madrid giants, Real and Atletico.

Valencia should be the perfect opponents for La Blaugrana to get their La Liga title push back on track in their first home league game of 2025 on Sunday, given they’ve won seven of their last eight league meetings and are unbeaten in their last 20 La Liga home matches against Los Che.

In fact, their last defeat to the visitors at Camp Nou was in April 2016. Since then, Barcelona have dominated this fixture, with their overall head-to-head record showing 33 wins compared to 12 for Valencia.

The hosts will be particularly buoyant coming into this one, having staged a stunning 5-4 comeback against Benfica in the Champions League midweek, which extended their unbeaten run to six games across all competitions.

No Hope for Los Che

For Valencia, a trip to Camp Nou typically ends in defeat, and there’s little to suggest this occasion will be any different, especially as they’re yet to record a single win away from home this season, with their last five La Liga away games yielding two defeats and three draws.

Although they scraped a narrow 1-0 home victory over Real Sociedad last time out, the performance was far from convincing. Los Che struggled to create chances and failed to impose themselves. This bluntness in attack has been a persistent issue for La Liga’s second-bottom side, leaving them heavily reliant on Hugo Duro, who has scored four of their last ten goals.

Injuries and suspensions have further stretched their already fragile defence, and considering their dismal head-to-head record—with just one win in their last ten meetings against Barcelona—it’s difficult to see how they can get anything from this one.

Betting Tips: Raphinha Anytime Scorer; Lewandowski Over 2.5 Shots on Target

26/01 21:00 Barcelona – Valencia Raphinha Anytime Scorer @ 1.87; Lewandowski 2+ Shots on Target @ 1.70 (Betano)

This one looks a foregone conclusion, as anything other than a resounding Barcelona win would be a monumental shock.

With little value in simply backing Barcelona to win, we’re looking at bets that reflect Barca’s expected dominance.

The Catalans average 68% possession and 16.4 attempts per game in La Liga, making it dead certain they’ll control the ball and create countless chances against Valencia, the league’s second-worst team, whose overall possession average is just 49.6%.

Barca’s forward line should have a field day, with Raphinha and Robert Lewandowski expected to play starring roles.

Raphinha, who’s enjoying the season of his life with 11 league goals so far, should add to his tally against Valencia’s porous defence.

Backing him to score at 1.87 odds on Betano offers solid value.

Barcelona vs Valencia - Raphinha Anytime Scorer @ 1.87

Barcelona vs Valencia - Raphinha Anytime Scorer @ 1.87Bet Now

Meanwhile, Lewandowski, La Liga’s top scorer with 16 goals, should cause even more problems for Los Che.

The Polish striker averages 2.6 shots per game, with 1.6 on target. Against a Valencia side expected to sit deep, Lewandowski should easily exceed his season averages for both shot attempts and shots on target.

With Barcelona dominating possession, Lewandowski will see plenty of the ball in dangerous areas.

Backing him for 2+ shots on target at 1.70 odds on Betano is excellent value.

Barcelona vs Valencia - Lewandowski 2+ Shots on Target @ 1.70

Barcelona vs Valencia - Lewandowski 2+ Shots on Target @ 1.70Bet Now

Combining both bets using Betano’s bet builder feature yields an excellent 3.15 odds, offering even more value.

Barcelona vs Valencia - Raphinha Anytime Scorer; Lewandowski 2+ Shots on Target @ 3.15

Barcelona vs Valencia - Raphinha Anytime Scorer; Lewandowski 2+ Shots on Target @ 3.15Bet Now

Probable Lineups:

• Barcelona: Iñaki Peña (GK); Jules Kounde; Ronald Araujo; Pau Cubarsí; Álex Balde; Pedri; Marc Casado; Gavi; Lamine Yamal; Robert Lewandowski; Raphinha.
• Valencia: Giorgi Mamardashvili (GK); Dimitri Foulquier; César Tárrega; Yarek Gasiorowski; Jose Gaya; Javi Guerra; Pepelu; Diego López; André Almeida; Luis Rioja; Hugo Duro.

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