Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Premier League Predictions & Betting Tips 22/02/2025
Two sides with top-four ambitions go head-to-head at Villa Park on Saturday as Aston Villa take on Chelsea in the Premier League’s late kick-off.
After securing Champions League football last season with a fourth-placed finish, Villa’s hopes of repeating that feat this term look uncertain as they’re currently five points adrift of fourth place.
A win here is, therefore, crucial to their UCL qualification hopes, though their record against London-based clubs—just four wins in their last 15 league meetings—suggests they may have reason for some apprehension heading into this clash.
That said, Saturdays have generally been kind to Villa, as they’ve lost just one of their last 22 home league matches played on this day. However, maintaining their Saturday run of good fortune at Villa Park will require them to start picking up wins, as they’ve managed just six victories in their last 21 league outings.
Even more concerning for Unai Emery’s men, home advantage hasn’t counted for much this season, as no Premier League side has drawn more home games than Villa (seven). While that could be interpreted as them being a tough side to beat—evidenced by their 2-2 draw with league leaders Liverpool in midweek—dropping more points here will hardly aid their cause.
Chelsea, meanwhile, are faring little better in the form table, arriving at this fixture with just two wins in their last nine league outings and failing to win any of their last six away games across all competitions. Goals have also been hard to come by on their travels, with the Blues managing just two in their last five away league fixtures.
However, this could be the perfect game for the Blues to turn things around, as they’ve won 70 of their 167 meetings with Villa, including a 3-0 victory last time out in December 2024. Villa Park has also been a happy hunting ground for them, with Chelsea netting at least twice in seven of their last eight visits, so goals haven’t been an issue for them in this fixture.
Team News & Players to Watch
Both sides are missing key players due to injuries and suspensions, with Villa without defender Pau Torres, while midfielders Amadou Onana and Boubacar Kamara are also unavailable.
Chelsea, on the other hand, will be without defender Wesley Fofana, midfielder Romeo Lavia, and forward Mykhaylo Mudryk.
For the hosts, Marcus Rashford is one to keep an eye on. The forward has yet to open his Villa account since joining on loan from Manchester United, but history suggests this could be the match where that changes. Rashford has scored four times in eight home league games against Chelsea, and with the visitors lacking defensive stability, this could be the perfect opportunity for him to break his drought.
Betting Tip: Bet Builder – Chelsea Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Cole Palmer 1+ Shots on Target; Marcus Rashford Anytime Scorer
22/02 18:30 Aston Villa – Chelsea Bet Builder – Chelsea Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Cole Palmer 1+ Shots on Target @ 2.70; Marcus Rashford Anytime Scorer @ 3.25 (Betano)
Chelsea have historically fared well at Villa Park, but given their struggles away from home this season, it’s difficult to be confident they will take all three points here.
On the other hand, Villa have hardly made their home ground a fortress, with seven teams leaving with something this season, meaning home advantage may not count for much here.
Given Chelsea’s solid record in this fixture but their struggles on the road, coupled with Villa’s tendency to drop points at home, the safest bet is backing the Blues to avoid defeat.
We should also see a high-scoring game with both sides contributing to the scoreline—Chelsea have consistently found the net at Villa Park, while their own defensive issues should allow Villa to do the same.
With Chelsea missing key attacking players, their creative burden falls even more on Cole Palmer, who has been central to their attack. The midfielder averages 2.4 shots per game in the Premier League, with an impressive 1.5 of them hitting the target, and he should have plenty of opportunities to replicate those numbers here.
Therefore, we recommend backing a bet builder treble of Chelsea Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Cole Palmer 1+ Shots on Target at 2.70 odds on Betano.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Bet Builder: Chelsea Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Cole Palmer 1+ Shots on Target @ 2.70
Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Bet Builder: Chelsea Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Cole Palmer 1+ Shots on Target @ 2.70Marcus Rashford Anytime Scorer @ 3.25 odds
Rashford’s record against Chelsea suggests there’s a strong chance he finds the net on Saturday. Players often thrive against teams they’ve had success against in the past, and with Villa’s attacking setup, he should get opportunities to break his drought.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Marcus Rashford Anytime Scorer @ 3.25Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Marcus Rashford Anytime Scorer @ 3.25For even more value, you can combine the Rashford anytime scorer bet with our bet builder for a total of 8.75 odds.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Bet Builder: Chelsea Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Cole Palmer 1+ Shots on Target + Marcus Rashford Anytime Scorer @ 8.75Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Bet Builder: Chelsea Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score + Cole Palmer 1+ Shots on Target + Marcus Rashford Anytime Scorer @ 8.75Possible Lineups:
- Aston Villa: Martinez (GK); Garcia, Bogarde, Mings, Digne; Tielemans, McGinn; Rogers, Asensio, Rashford; Watkins
- Chelsea: Jorgensen (GK); James, Tosin, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Neto, Palmer, Sancho; Nkunku
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