AC Milan vs Cagliari: Italian Serie A Predictions & Betting Tips 11/01/2025
A rousing come-from-behind win over neighbours and bitter rivals Inter Milan saw AC Milan overturn a 2-0 deficit to triumph 3-2 in the Supercoppa Italiana. With that result, new Rossoneri boss Sergio Conceição has now won both his matches in charge, securing silverware in just his second game at the helm.
Given that the Portuguese tactician was appointed a mere four days before the Supercoppa semi-final, his immediate impact has been nothing short of extraordinary.
The Conceição Effect
It’s clear Conceição has breathed fresh life into a Milan side that had looked adrift under former boss Paulo Fonseca. Fonseca’s tenure was marred by a frustrating inability to mount comebacks, but in just a few days, the new man in charge has turned that narrative on its head—not once, but twice. This newfound resilience has given fans and players renewed belief that a top-four Serie A finish is still very much on the cards.
Next up, Milan host Cagliari at the San Siro on Saturday, where Conceição has the chance to make even more history. A win would see the former Porto manager become the first Milan boss since the legendary Arrigo Sacchi in August 1987 to win his first three matches in charge.
History, it must be said, is firmly on Milan’s side. Cagliari have been perennial underdogs in this fixture, and their record against the Rossoneri offers little cause for optimism. In 18 Serie A clashes this century, Cagliari have lost 17 times, shipping an eye-watering 46 goals while scoring just 11.
It’s not exactly the kind of form that suggests the visitors will leave the San Siro with anything to celebrate. While Cagliari did manage a morale-boosting win last weekend, it came off the back of a dreadful four-match losing streak.
Their defence, in particular, has been all over the place, and it’s hard to see how they’ll cope with a rejuvenated Milan side buoyed by home support and the momentum of recent successes.
Betting Tip: AC Milan to Win & Over 1.5 Goals
11/01 20:45 AC Milan – Cagliari AC Milan to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.65 (Betking)
Everything about this match points to a comfortable Milan victory—anything else would be a massive surprise.
Cagliari have been Milan’s whipping boys for years, and they’re the perfect opposition for the Rossoneri to keep the momentum going as they push for a top-four finish in Serie A.
With 46 goals conceded in 18 Serie A meetings against the Rossoneri this century, the visitors have struggled to keep things tight at the back in this fixture. Saturday’s encounter should follow a familiar script.
The visitors’ dismal record in this fixture speaks for itself, and while they picked up a win last weekend, it feels like an anomaly after their poor recent run. Saturday’s trip to the San Siro could very well mark the start of another losing streak for them.
Given Cagliari’s woeful defensive record in this fixture and generally this season, Milan should find plenty of joy in front of goal and secure all three points with goals to spare.
Therefore, we recommend backing the combo bet of AC Milan to Win and Over 1.5 Goals in the match, available at a very enticing 1.65 odds on Betking.
AC Milan vs Cagliari - AC Milan to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.65
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