Euro 2024 Semifinals: Previews, Betting Odds and Updated Winner Odds
The semifinals of Euro 2024 are set, and naturally, the best sports betting sites have updated their winner odds for the tournament.
Spain, England, France and the Netherlands are the four teams remaining, and two of these sides will progress to the final on Sunday, July 14 in Berlin to compete for the trophy.
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Spain defeated hosts Germany in an exhilarating quarterfinal that went into extra time, setting up a semifinal clash with France. France also went to extra time against Portugal after a goalless 120 minutes, securing their last-four spot with a penalty shootout victory.
Meanwhile, England also needed penalties to overcome Switzerland and will face the Netherlands, who sealed a comeback win against Türkiye in the only quarterfinal settled in regulation time.
The Euro 2024 semifinals will kick off on Tuesday, July 9.
This article explores the latest Euro 2024 winner odds, semifinal matchups, and their respective betting odds.
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Odds courtesy of 22bet, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
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100% WELCOME BONUS UP TO ₦207.500Spain @ 2.93
England @ 3.55
France @ 3.64
Netherlands @ 5.30
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Spain @ 2.93
Spain assumed the status as favourites to win Euro 2024 ahead of the quarterfinals, and La Roja are still firm favourites ahead of the semifinals after they dumped out hosts, Germany. 22bet has Spain at 2.93 odds to win a record fourth European Championship crown.
Spain’s status as favourites heading into the Euro 2024 semifinals is also backed by Opta, who has given them a 30.4% chance of winning the tournament, the best among the semifinalists.
Luis de la Fuente’s side has arguably been the best team at this tournament, entering the knockout stage with a hundred per cent record. An easy win against Georgia in the last 16 and a determined showing against Germany where they fought back from a late equaliser to win 2-1 after extra time further underscores their title credentials.
However, they face a tough challenge against France in the semifinals, especially with first-choice defenders Daniel Carvajal and Robin Le Normand suspended after accumulating yellow cards in the win over Germany.
Spain’s Road to the Semifinals:
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Group Stage Results
- Spain 3-0 Croatia (Berlin, June 15)
- Spain 1-0 Italy (Gelsenkirchen, June 20)
- Spain 1-0 Albania (Düsseldorf, 24 June)
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Round of 16
- Spain 4-1 Georgia (Cologne, June 30)
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Quarterfinals
- Spain 2-1 Germany AET (Stuttgart, July 5)
England @ 3.55
Despite not winning a match in regulation time since their opener against Serbia, England enter the semifinals as second favourites to win Euro 2024 at 3.55 odds on 22bet.
Gareth Southgate’s side were perilously close to being knocked out in both of their knockout ties. They needed a last-minute equaliser and extra-time winner against Slovenia before beating Switzerland on penalties in the quarterfinals after Bukayo Saka’s late goal cancelled out Breel Embolo’s opener to force extra-time.
However, unlike their encounter with Slovenia, England did manage more than one shot on target against Switzerland, albeit not until after the 50-minute mark. Interestingly, their semifinal opponents, the Netherlands, have the worst defensive record amongst the remaining teams in terms of expected goals conceded (xGA). So England might find a bit more joy in attack against the Dutch.
England’s Road to the Semifinals:
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Group Stage Results
- England 1-0 Serbia (Gelsenkirchen, June 16)
- England 1-1 vs Denmark (Frankfurt, June 20)
- England 0-0 vs Slovenia (Cologne, June 25)
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Round of 16
- England 2-1 Slovakia AET (Gelsenkirchen, June 30)
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Quarterfinals
- England 1-1 Switzerland (5-3 on penalties) (Düsseldorf, July 6)
France @ 3.64
Despite failing to score a single goal from open play throughout the tournament, France are somehow in the semifinals, priced as third favourites at 3.64 odds to win Euro 2024 by 22bet.
A second-place finish in Group D marked their first failure to win a group stage since Euro 2012. A narrow 1-0 victory over Belgium in the round of 16, thanks to an own goal, further highlighted their struggles.
The quarterfinal against Portugal wasn’t much prettier, but France displayed their renowned resilience in big matches to win on penalties.
While France’s performances haven’t been convincing, history shows that pragmatic teams can win the Euros. Fans will undoubtedly draw hope from this as they prepare to face tournament favourites Spain in the semifinals.
France’s Road to the Semifinals:
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Group Stage Results
- France 1-0 Austria (Düsseldorf, June 17)
- France 0-0 Netherlands (Leipzig, June 21)
- France 1-1 Poland (Dortmund, June 25)
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Round of 16
- France 1-0 Belgium (Düsseldorf, July 1)
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Quarterfinals
- France 0-0 Portugal (5-4 on penalties) (Hamburg, July 5)
Netherlands @ 5.30
The Netherlands were not among the top favourites to win Euro 2024 in the pre-tournament outright betting, and they are still longshots at 5.30 odds on 22bet.
Ronald Koeman’s team was initially criticised for their unconvincing qualification from the group stage as one of the best third-placed finishers. However, this fortunate placement put them on the opposite side of the draw from powerhouses like Germany, Spain, Portugal, and France. This twist of fate has proven beneficial, allowing them to progress to the semifinals of Euro 2024.
The Oranje secured their first quarterfinal berth since 2008 with a comfortable 3-0 victory over Romania. They then displayed resilience by coming from behind to defeat Turkey 2-1 in a thrilling quarterfinal encounter.
A sterner test awaits them in the form of England in the semifinals. However, a win would see them reach their first Euros final since their 1988 triumph, which coincidentally also took place in Germany.
The Netherlands’ Road to the Semifinals:
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Group Stage Results
- Netherlands 2-1 Poland (Hamburg, June 16)
- Netherlands 0-0 France (Leipzig, June 21)
- Netherlands 2-3 Austria (Berlin, June 25)
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Round of 16
- Netherlands 3-0 Romania (Munich, July 2)
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Quarterfinals
- Netherlands 2-1 Türkiye (Berlin, July 6)
Euro 2024 Semifinals Fixtures
- 09/07 20:00 Spain vs France (Munich)
- 10/07 20:00 Netherlands vs England (Dortmund)
Euro 2024 Semifinals Betting Odds
Spain @ 2.696 vs France @ 3.032
The Euro 2024 semifinals open with a mouthwatering clash between Spain and France at the Allianz Arena in Munich on Friday, with La Roja slight favourites to progress according to the betting odds.
22bet has Spain as favourites at 2.696 odds to win in regulation time and 1.80 odds to qualify. Having overcome a hostile atmosphere to defeat hosts, Germany in the quarterfinals, La Roja will be confident heading into this tie.
However, Luis de la Fuente’s side will be severely handicapped in defence with first-choice duo Dani Carvajal and Robin Le Normand suspended for the tie. Could that tip this semifinal in France’s favour?
Les Bleus, meanwhile, have no such worries and manager Didier Deschamps will have a full squad to pick from with Adrien Rabiot again available for selection after missing the Portugal tie with a suspension.
However, France’s inability to score from open play at Euro 2024 could be a huge problem in this semifinal. But Les Bleus, priced at 3.032 odds to win and 2.00 odds to qualify, have been excellent defensively, conceding just once – from the spot – and only facing an Expected Goals tally of just 0.89 per match, the best record of the remaining teams.
France will need that defensive resilience to shut out a Spanish attack that leads the tournament in expected goals generated (10.3). 22bet has La Roja priced at 2.11 odds to open the scoring against France’s 2.29 odds to draw first blood.
The last four matches have been evenly split between at two wins apiece, underscoring the evenly-matched nature of both sides, so extra-time, priced at 2.90 odds on 22bet cannot be ruled out.
Predict 6 Scores Win ₦10.000.000Netherlands @ 3.20 vs England @ 2.56
The Netherlands have improved as the tournament progressed, putting together an impressive performance to defeat Romania 3-0 in the last 16, before demonstrating resilience to recover from going a goal down to defeat Turkiye 2-1 last time out.
Goals have not been a problem for the Dutch at the tournament and they are priced at 2.375 odds to open the scoring in this Euro 2024 semifinal. However, it is further back in defence that the Oranje have issues, having accumulated the worst expected goals against among the remaining teams. This could explain their underdog status for this Euro 2024 semifinal at 3.20 odds for a win in regulation time and 2.10 odds to qualify on 22bet.
England, meanwhile, have relied heavily on individual brilliance and a bit of luck to reach this stage. The Three Lions are favourites at 2.56 odds to win and 1.727 odds to progress to the final but will need a significant improvement to live up to that billing.
Having struggled to defeat Serbia, and failing to win against Denmark, Slovenia, Slovakia and Switzerland inside regulation time, Gareth Southgate’s side will have their work cut out against the Dutch who at 7th in the FIFA rankings, will be the highest team they’ve faced so far.
An upset could well be on the cards here, especially with the Netherlands coming out on top in three of their last four encounters. One thing going for England, however, is their defence which at 4.79 xGA is second best amongst the teams in the last four.
England are priced at 2.05 odds to open the scoring and while their expected goals of 4.38 xG is by far the worst of the four Euro 2024 semifinalists, the Dutch are porous at the back, so that bet may hold some value.
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The Euro 2024 final will be on Sunday, July 14, at 20:00 in Berlin.
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