AC Milan vs Inter Milan: Derby della Madonnina Predictions & Betting Tips 02/02/2025
A month after their spectacular five-goal thriller in Saudi Arabia, AC Milan and Inter Milan lock horns again in the 182nd Serie A Derby della Madonnina, this time in the more familiar setting of the San Siro.
Milan may have won the last two derbies, equalling their total victories from the previous 13 meetings, but reports of player discontent with training methods ahead of their biggest game of the season suggest that making it three in a row could be a tough ask.
Speculation is swirling that new boss Sérgio Conceição, who has only been in charge for a few weeks, is already facing unrest in the dressing room—never a good sign ahead of a match of this magnitude.
How a team defends as a unit often reflects how much they’ve bought into their manager’s philosophy, and early signs under Conceição have been worrying. Milan’s defence has been exposed repeatedly since his arrival, none more so than last weekend when they shipped two sloppy late goals in a nervy win against Parma—a game they should have seen out comfortably.
Injuries and suspensions to key players make it even harder to see how they get a result here, with Youssouf Fofana suspended and several others sidelined through injury.
Inter, meanwhile, come into this derby perfectly poised to end their two-game losing streak against Milan, particularly given their excellent away form in the league.
Although technically at home—since they share the San Siro—Inter are the designated away side here. That plays right into their hands, as they’ve won their last eight away games in all competitions, and boast an incredible 22-0 aggregate scoreline in their last seven Serie A away games.
Unlike their city rivals, Simone Inzaghi’s men have no major injury concerns and arrive with a near full-strength squad. With Lautaro Martinez in unstoppable form—fresh off a midweek hat-trick and already on nine league goals this season—they’ll be confident of taking all three points and continuing their march towards retaining the Serie A title.
Betting Tips: Inter to Win; Lautaro Martinez Anytime Scorer
02/02 18:00 AC Milan – Inter Milan Inter to Win @ 1.88; Lautaro Martinez Anytime Scorer @ 2.65 (22bet)
Form, as they say, often goes out the window in derbies, with passion and bragging rights playing a bigger role. But this might just be an exception, given the huge gulf in everything between these two sides.
While recent derby encounters have been evenly matched—three wins each and one draw in the last seven meetings—Inter have historically dominated, with 70 Serie A victories over Milan and 259 goals, the most by any team against the Rossoneri in the competition.
Inter’s 22-0 aggregate scoreline in their last seven Serie A away matches underscores their ruthless efficiency at both ends of the pitch.
Milan’s porous defence, dressing room tensions, and key absentees put them at a significant disadvantage. It’s hard to see anything besides three points for the Nerazzurri here.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Inter to Win @ 1.88
AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Inter to Win @ 1.88Lautaro Martinez Anytime Scorer at 2.65 on 22bet
With Inter expected to win, goals will be needed. Who better than reigning Serie A Golden Boot winner Lautaro Martinez to score?
Fresh off a hat-trick in midweek, the Argentine is in sensational form and has a habit of delivering in big games.
Against a Milan defence struggling for cohesion, he looks primed to strike again. Back him to get on the scoresheet and lead Inter to victory.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Lautaro Martinez Anytime Scorer @ 2.65AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Lautaro Martinez Anytime Scorer @ 2.65Predicted Line-ups:
- AC Milan: Maignan (GK); Walker, Tomori, Pavlovic, Hernandez; Bennacer, Musah; Pulisic, Reijnders, Leao; Abraham
- Inter Milan: Sommer (GK); Pavard, De Vrij, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Asllani, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Martinez, Thuram
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